VI on Tropical Storm Warning; TS Lorenzo forms
According to the National Hurricane Center, in its 2:00pm update, the center of poorly organised Tropical Storm Karen was located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 65.2 West. “Karen is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue today.”
The NHC said a turn toward the north is expected by Tuesday.
“On the forecast track, the center of Karen will move across the eastern Caribbean Sea today, and pass near or over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands Tuesday morning. Karen will move over the western Atlantic to the north of Puerto Rico Tuesday night and Wednesday.”
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts and Karen could weaken to a tropical depression or degenerate into an open wave later today or tonight, however, little overall change in wind speed is expected over the next day or so.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
Meanwhile, a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the US Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24 hours.
Tropical Storm Lorenzo
On the other side of the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Lorenzo has formed a few hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands.
It's heading "generally westward" over the Atlantic at about 18 mph.
It is expected to begin moving northwestward Monday night and remain on this track through the middle of the week.
Lorenzo had winds of 40 mph and is forecast to become a hurricane by Wednesday.
Tropical Storm Jerry
Tropical Storm Jerry continued to march northwestward toward Bermuda on Monday but appeared less organised, according to the National Hurricane Center.
As of 1:00pm today, Monday, September 23, 2019, Jerry was located about 345 miles southwest of Bermuda and was moving north-northwest at 7 mph.
Jerry had winds of 65 mph. The hurricane center expects Jerry to weaken gradually over the next few days.
Jerry is forecast to turn to the north tonight and then the northeast on Tuesday. On that path the center of the storm is forecast to pass near Bermuda on Tuesday night or early Wednesday.
A tropical storm warning has now been issued for the island, which was just sideswiped by Hurricane Humberto last week.
Jerry could bring 1 to 3 inches of rain to Bermuda through Wednesday.
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