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The Dollar, Debt, and World War 3 Part One

January 4th, 2025 | Tags: Dickson Igwe commentary dollar debt World War III
Dickson C. Igwe. Photo: VINO/File
By Dickson C. Igwe

The Virgin Islands inhabit an increasingly unpredictable and dangerous world. The policy of the Virgin Islands forging strong links with Asia is a great vision. Asia is the future. Agriculture and fisheries can no longer be an option. Countries in the Caribbean must aim for self- sufficiency.

The West is in decline. The West’s main advantage to the world was its democratic and freedom-loving cultures. However, the rise of populism and fascism has put that notion to rest.  

Now, asserting the world may be on the brink of world war is not alarmist. History buffs understand that the past repeats itself, and disturbingly so. The ingredients for war are present today, when an enlightened observer looks back at history.

For a start, debt is blowing up a bubble especially in the USA, which if that bubble bursts, could drive up inflation and even lead to Depression. Depression, currency meltdown, and inflation, in Germany, led to fascism, and the rise of Adolf Hitler. Social and economic depression is a pre-condition for war historically.

Internally and externally, US debt is rising astronomically. The US Dollar, backed by debt, is not true production. Debt drives the USA, not real value. In other words, the western economy is a financial economy. It is service based. It is prone to boom and bust. It is a vast bubble. The Dollar is the backbone of this economy and is a hegemonic currency backed by political and military power mainly.

US consumers hold debt of nearly $18 Trillion and under $1 Trillion in savings. The average US citizen lives paycheck-to-paycheck in spite of the supposed vast wealth of the country. Half of Americans would find it a challenge to pay a sudden $1000 bill. It is the same with the National debt. The USA cannot repay its national debt.

National debt or debt owed by the government and government agencies is over $34 Trillion. Taxpayers to a lesser extent, and the printing of Dollars to the greater, cover interest payments to investors who finance that debt.

Ever increasing debt is self-fulfilling. The world runs on debt. The USA’s Federal Reserve produces that debt. The US does not worry about debt as all the world depends on that debt to function economically. The world sells its goods and services to the USA in exchange for Dollars produced by the USA’s Federal Reserve. The Dollar is currency backed by US debt.

As long as the Dollar remains the world’s reserve currency the US can create debt at will, tamed only by inflation within its borders. The guardrail for increasing national debt is the price of groceries, gas, and rent in the USA for US voters.

The world economy is a highly charged game of poker, with the USA and the Dollar holding all the Aces.

6 Responses to “The Dollar, Debt, and World War 3 Part One”

  • Bush Professor (04/01/2025, 18:52) Like (2) Dislike (2) Reply
    The US has the #1 economy, largest GDP (~$29T) and a national debt of ~$35T. The national debt has been skyrocketing since President Nixon took the US off the gold standard on 15 August 1971, fueling the Feds to crank up the print press and the printing is still running..Former Fed Chairman Allan Greenspan attempted to cool things down with his “ irrational exuberance’ comment in 1987 or there about..Every President increases the national debt but former President Trump in his first term deficit spend some $8T, which is more than other President. He will be inaugurated on January 20 , starting his second term and last term, perhaps. And as the sun rises in the East, he will increase the national debt, renewing the tax cuts for wealthy individuals, big businesses, corporations, ., etc..Moreover, the dollar is fiat currency, ie, it is not back by anything. It is debt funded by the taxpayer, ie, mostly the poor and working class..

    The dollar is the world reserved currency which is keeping the dollar flying high and buoyant. Further, in 1974 having taken the dollar off the gold standard, President Nixon signed a petrodollar agreement with Saudi Arabia in 1974, ie, all oil had to be sold in US $$$. This also give some lift to the US dollar.

    However, increasingly, there are strong efforts by the BRICS ( Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa ) + others which are mounting and rallying an effort to replace the dollar as the world reserve currency. The outcome of that action if successful is still uncertain. Some believe that such an action will dump many dollars back on shore , driving up inflation. Secondly, Saudi Arabia just declined to renew the the Petrodollar agreement. True, the US is facing some sturdy head winds to knock it off its perch. But thus far, it is only slightly twisting in the wind. It is still holding its own. The US will employ its hegemony to fight back. I see the US and the dollar staying strong in the short time. The long term impact is another tory. The political and social division, , polarization , culture wars, disunity, racial issues, etc, are posing a threat and risk to its global dominance. Ruling by fear,,white grievance, jingoism, xenophobia, division, etc, is akin to a bird messing in its own nest. It is messy, uncomfortable, disastrous, etc. Every empire, institution, organization, country, etc., rise and fall, so has the US started the descen????????
    • E. Leonard (05/01/2025, 10:08) Like (2) Dislike (1) Reply
      The West was New now it is Old, and the East is New and surging. The US problem is much bigger than either the dollar being displaced as the world reserve currency or the petrodollar, ie, oil being sold in other than the US $$$. The US is a melting pot but it is a deeply divided and polarized country fueled by fear along racial and other social lines, ie, inequality, etc. Race is the US’ primary social construct, which have dogged it since its beginning. Fear is now an integral part of the political lexicon, part of political campaigning.The other factor threatening to impact it is wealth and resources inequality, etc. The 90/10 rule of money is in play, ie, 10% of people earn 90% of the money. Further, approximately the top 1% or less of the population have more wealth than the bottom 90%. The billionaire class, oligarchs, are flexing their muscle, exerting their influence. No surprise. Noam Chomsky, US linguist and political philosopher notes:” Everybody has to make sure that the rich folks are happy.” Chomsky notes that in most countries a wealthy minority controls key social and political institutions, ie, mass media, financial systems,etc. The wealthy exerts disproportionate power and influence, running things either directly or indirectly. The US must address its global economic issues, along with its internal social issues, to maintain its top perch and global leadership. It is not an insurmountable project but requires much change, effort., etc. American exceptionalism is maintainable. .
      • Rattler (05/01/2025, 16:29) Like (2) Dislike (1) Reply
        E. Leonard, agree the US must fix its internal social domestic issues, especially its racial issues. The ascendancy of Blacks , and other marginalized minorities is a lighting rod for white grievances, fear of being replace, etc.
  • Form four politics again (04/01/2025, 19:23) Like (0) Dislike (1) Reply
    ‘However, the rise of populism and fascism has put that notion to rest’ - complete and utter nonsense - it is the thought police politics of the illiberal so called liberals that is killing the western world.
  • @ E LEONARD (05/01/2025, 16:00) Like (0) Dislike (3) Reply
    AS USUAL , ALWAYS USING OTHER PEOPLE'S ARTICLES TO BANG OFF HIS MOUTH , BUT KEEP VERY ABSENT MINDED ABOUT OUR DERAGOTARY HISTORY ON WHY & WHATS THE PURPOSE OF CALLING OUR AFRICAN DECENDANTS FROM DIFFERENT COUNTRIES " ISLAND PEOPLE " BUT LOVE TO YAP ABOUT OUR WHITE SLAVE MASTERS RACISM AND ATTROCITIES PERPETRATED ON ALL OF OUR AFRICIAN ANCESTORS , ( NIGGAH WE ALL
    LIVE ONCE AND DIE ONCE , TELL THE TRUTH , WHO VEX - VEX , LAVITY WILL GO FOWN AS THE BEST , AND HE DIDN'T LIE OR PLAYED HE HAD SELECTIVE AMNESIA , HE HAD INTEGRITY , WITH ALL THE KNOWLEDGE YOU POSSESS , ( YOU COULD NOT RESIST TO ADD - HYPOCRISY - TO YOUR COLLECTION .
  • @ FORM FOUR POLITICS (05/01/2025, 16:14) Like (1) Dislike (3) Reply
    U ARE ENTITLED TO YOUR OPINION , WHO ASKED U ANYTHING ? , SINCE YOU KNOW OTHERWISE / WRITE YOUR OWN VERSION , INSTEAD OF CRITICIZING , ■ KEEP ON TELLING IT LIKE IT IS IG , DON'T MIND THE SARCASM / PEOPLE WITH PETTY MINDS 7 ALWAYS LOOKING FOR FAULTS TO FIND , AND MOST OF THEM DON'T EVEN KNOW THEIR OWN SELF


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