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Corona & a National Social Fund

Dickson C. Igwe. Photo: VINO/File
Dickson C. Igwe

Tiny economies cannot print massive reserves of cash, by raising vast amounts of financial capital from global investors, such as multi-trillion dollar economies can.

Multi trillion dollar GDPs, such as the US, Germany and UK, have the ability to borrow near unlimited amounts of money from investors through the issuance of various debt instruments at the lowest rates of interest. Global investors view these economies as safe havens.

However, small economies with GDPs between $1- $50 billion- like most Caribbean Islands- must fund their own pandemic riven economies. Small economies are left to sail on unpredictable and stormy seas by themselves in the present economic crisis.

Small and struggling economies can borrow from global investors in the present environment: that is an option. However, unlike their trillion-dollar counterparts in the north, who can dictate their proposals to willing investors, small economies do not have that power.

Increasing national debt in a crisis through international borrowing can place a developing country at the mercy of institutions such as the IMF and World Bank for years, through indirect political control, economic control, and high debt obligations, lasting years.

Indebtedness to global financial institutions and banks further limits a government’s ability for public investment and limits the governments' control over the financial management of its own economy. This places public policy at the ‘’beck and call’’ of global investors.

To avoid the preceding, social funding – where individuals within a country fund economic activity through direct contributions- is the answer. In the case of the Coronavirus, it is funding to keep the poor and needy afloat, thereby leaving the government to manage scarce fiscal resources, without the additional burden of managing charity.

Now, as the economic famine settles in, with a worldwide economic depression that some experts predict will wipe $87 trillion off the value of the global economy, governments that manage small economies that depend on a single or dual source of income, such as these Virgin Islands, will have to adapt to an austere environment.

Why: because no one knows when or how this Coronavirus Pandemic ends. Numerous experts: scientists, epidemiologists, virologists, and so on and so forth, believe this pandemic will go on indefinitely. A vaccine and cure are unexpected before the end of 2021.

Then, reopening economies in the midst of a pandemic is no guarantee of economic recovery. Consumers drive economic recovery in the pure capitalism model.

Today, consumers are fearful. Fearful consumers zip their wallets. The reason consumers are fearful is due to the severe contraction caused by lockdown and social isolation in the world economy. When consumers observe failing businesses and increasing joblessness, they adopt savings and thrift as a form of self- preservation from social and economic dislocation.

Savers do not drive the type of consumer spending that further drives economic recovery.

Economics is first and foremost human behaviour. Consumer and business confidence depends on the health of the economic environment. The pandemic has instilled a climate of fear. And until consumers are confident to go out and shop, and exist as they did before this pandemic, economic growth will either be anaemic, or nonexistent.

So how does an economy and society such as these British Virgin Islands survive in a collapsing economy?

The answer is social funding. The idea is not new.

A social fund is an account into which the whole community contributes: organizations and individuals. 

A social bond is linked to a social account that offers global investors an opportunity to contribute. A social bond operates over a fixed period of time, and in the present environment will be used to support the needy through injecting capital into the account from investors. 

Cash from these investors will be paid into the social fund account for disbursement.

Yes, the social account will pay the investors when the fixed term is up, but that will be covered by contributions into the account by the general public and local organizations.

A social fund is a charitable effort.

Will a social account linked to a social bond work? It should, when one considers the alternative, which is a government dipping into its scarce reserves, and borrowing in a contracting economy, which in turn is years of interest payments, negatively impacting government’s ability to spend and build a prosperous and sustainable economy.

Best keep social security, and social health funding intact, and fund the unexpected disaster of a sudden crisis such as a hurricane, earthquake, and pandemic, that rips away livelihoods through community effort.

Social funding managed by independent and nonpolitical assessors, using strict means-testing to decide who is eligible for help is the way to go.

Connect with Dickson Igwe on Facebook and Twitter.

2 Responses to “Corona & a National Social Fund”

  • ... (23/05/2020, 18:23) Like (0) Dislike (0) Reply
    good to go
  • E. Leonard (23/05/2020, 19:02) Like (0) Dislike (0) Reply
    Agree with Igwe that establishing a social fund is a viable option for the VI, given the current environment. There are tens of social funds across the globe, ie, Angola, Madagascar, Pakistan, Philippine Islands, Romania, Ukraine, Jamaica, Belize, Panama, Egypt, Yemen among others. What is a social fund? Simply, it is a safety net that help poor countries and communities cope with structural adjustment policies. Social fund commissioned, it can be funded from both local and international sources.

    The VI, along with the rest of the CARICOM region, are small, resource-poor, heavily travel and trade dependent, disaster-prone, heavily indebted (2020 regional debt is approx $9B) and susceptible to economic and environmental shocks. Covid-19 has exposed the region’s vulnerabilities and the developed world cannot cast a blind eye on the region as invisible and dispensable. They do so at their own risk and peril, for issues in the developing and emerging countries can spread quickly to developed countries, ie, medical, security……..etc. VI economy tanked by Covid-19, it needs help urgently.

    As the US taxpayers through the Marshal Plan bail out the UK to the tune of approx $5B after WWII, the UK should develop a Marshal Plan-styled package for its OTs.The rich nations of the 54 nation Commonwealth of Nations should contribute to the VI Social Fund. Additionally, also the rest of the developed countries, along with agencies, ie, IMF, World Bank….etc, should contribute to the VI Social Fund.

    Moreover, small countries borrowing to meet Covid-19 driven needs, will sink. Most of these countries were just barely threading water and now with an added debt burden will
    submerge. A high debt to GDP ratio stifles growth and development. What is a high debt to GDP ratio? Some experts suggest a debt to GDP ratio of 40% for developing and emerging countries and 60% for developed countries as prudent. The World Bank suggest 77% with any extended increase above this number as troubling.

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